New England Patriots: Quest for 19-0
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New England Patriots: Quest for 19-0
Here's a hot topic: can the Patriots win out? Is 16-0 even possible? Better yet, is 19-0 attainable?
I'll give you my perspective, then I'd like to hear yours.
The Patriots are certainly a great team. I won't cast any doubt on that fact. They're #1 through 12 weeks in the Walters Trend Method Power Rankings by a wide margin. They've only trailed in four games, and only once by double digits (vs. Indy).
The biggest factor that I think will keep New England from having a perfect season is that their current pace is unsustainable. If you've seen any work on the blog, you'll know that I'm a big proponent of regression to the mean - the cyclical nature of the league. When a team exceeds it's average quality of play there is often an immediate correction in the following weeks.
In their last four games we've seen their two highest H/C games and their two lowest H/C games. That's a sign of inconsistency, which indicates a pending regression. I think Pittsburgh will beat them, and the Giants could win in week 17 as well.
What are your thoughts?
I'll give you my perspective, then I'd like to hear yours.
The Patriots are certainly a great team. I won't cast any doubt on that fact. They're #1 through 12 weeks in the Walters Trend Method Power Rankings by a wide margin. They've only trailed in four games, and only once by double digits (vs. Indy).
The biggest factor that I think will keep New England from having a perfect season is that their current pace is unsustainable. If you've seen any work on the blog, you'll know that I'm a big proponent of regression to the mean - the cyclical nature of the league. When a team exceeds it's average quality of play there is often an immediate correction in the following weeks.
In their last four games we've seen their two highest H/C games and their two lowest H/C games. That's a sign of inconsistency, which indicates a pending regression. I think Pittsburgh will beat them, and the Giants could win in week 17 as well.
What are your thoughts?

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